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Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss.
Smith DM, Eade R, Andrews MB, Ayres H, Clark A, Chripko S, Deser C, Dunstone NJ, García-Serrano J, Gastineau G, Graff LS, Hardiman SC, He B, Hermanson L, Jung T, Knight J, Levine X, Magnusdottir G, Manzini E, Matei D, Mori M, Msadek R, Ortega P, Peings Y, Scaife AA, Screen JA, Seabrook M, Semmler T, Sigmond M, Streffing J, Sun L, Walsh A. Smith DM, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Nat Commun. 2022 Feb 7;13(1):727. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y. Nat Commun. 2022. PMID: 35132058 Free PMC article.
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply.
Smith DM, Scaife AA, Eade R, Athanasiadis P, Bellucci A, Bethke I, Bilbao R, Borchert LF, Caron LP, Counillon F, Danabasoglu G, Delworth T, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Dunstone NJ, Estella-Perez V, Flavoni S, Hermanson L, Keenlyside N, Kharin V, Kimoto M, Merryfield WJ, Mignot J, Mochizuki T, Modali K, Monerie PA, Müller WA, Nicolí D, Ortega P, Pankatz K, Pohlmann H, Robson J, Ruggieri P, Sospedra-Alfonso R, Swingedouw D, Wang Y, Wild S, Yeager S, Yang X, Zhang L. Smith DM, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Nature. 2020 Jul;583(7818):796-800. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0. Epub 2020 Jul 29. Nature. 2020. PMID: 32728237
Predictability of European winter 2016/2017.
Dunstone N, Scaife AA, MacLachlan C, Knight J, Ineson S, Smith D, Thornton H, Gordon M, McLean P, Palin E, Hardiman S, Walker B. Dunstone N, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Atmos Sci Lett. 2018 Dec;19(12):e868. doi: 10.1002/asl.868. Epub 2018 Nov 4. Atmos Sci Lett. 2018. PMID: 31191171 Free PMC article.
Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015.
Ineson S, Balmaseda MA, Davey MK, Decremer D, Dunstone NJ, Gordon M, Ren HL, Scaife AA, Weisheimer A. Ineson S, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Sci Rep. 2018 Jul 16;8(1):10733. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-29130-1. Sci Rep. 2018. PMID: 30013235 Free PMC article.
High risk of unprecedented UK rainfall in the current climate.
Thompson V, Dunstone NJ, Scaife AA, Smith DM, Slingo JM, Brown S, Belcher SE. Thompson V, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Nat Commun. 2017 Jul 24;8(1):107. doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-00275-3. Nat Commun. 2017. PMID: 28740082 Free PMC article.
An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation.
Osprey SM, Butchart N, Knight JR, Scaife AA, Hamilton K, Anstey JA, Schenzinger V, Zhang C. Osprey SM, et al. Among authors: scaife aa. Science. 2016 Sep 23;353(6306):1424-1427. doi: 10.1126/science.aah4156. Epub 2016 Sep 8. Science. 2016. PMID: 27608666
15 results