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Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations.
Sherratt K, Gruson H, Grah R, Johnson H, Niehus R, Prasse B, Sandmann F, Deuschel J, Wolffram D, Abbott S, Ullrich A, Gibson G, Ray EL, Reich NG, Sheldon D, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Wang L, Trnka J, Obozinski G, Sun T, Thanou D, Pottier L, Krymova E, Meinke JH, Barbarossa MV, Leithauser N, Mohring J, Schneider J, Wlazlo J, Fuhrmann J, Lange B, Rodiah I, Baccam P, Gurung H, Stage S, Suchoski B, Budzinski J, Walraven R, Villanueva I, Tucek V, Smid M, Zajicek M, Perez Alvarez C, Reina B, Bosse NI, Meakin SR, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Osthus D, Alaimo Di Loro P, Maruotti A, Eclerova V, Kraus A, Kraus D, Pribylova L, Dimitris B, Li ML, Saksham S, Dehning J, Mohr S, Priesemann V, Redlarski G, Bejar B, Ardenghi G, Parolini N, Ziarelli G, Bock W, Heyder S, Hotz T, Singh DE, Guzman-Merino M, Aznarte JL, Morina D, Alonso S, Alvarez E, Lopez D, Prats C, Burgard JP, Rodloff A, Zimmermann T, Kuhlmann A, Zibert J, Pennoni F, Divino F, Catala M, Lovison G, Giudici P, Tarantino B, Bartolucci F, Jona Lasinio G, Mingione M, Farcomeni A, Srivastava A, Montero-Manso P, Adiga A, Hurt B, Lewis B, Marathe M, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Bartczuk RP, Dreger F, Gambin A, Gogolewski K, Gruziel-Slomka… See abstract for full author list ➔ Sherratt K, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Elife. 2023 Apr 21;12:e81916. doi: 10.7554/eLife.81916. Elife. 2023. PMID: 37083521 Free PMC article.
Long-term air pollution exposure and lung function in 15 year-old adolescents living in an urban and rural area in Germany: The GINIplus and LISAplus cohorts.
Fuertes E, Bracher J, Flexeder C, Markevych I, Klümper C, Hoffmann B, Krämer U, von Berg A, Bauer CP, Koletzko S, Berdel D, Heinrich J, Schulz H. Fuertes E, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2015 Oct;218(7):656-65. doi: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2015.07.003. Epub 2015 Jul 17. Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2015. PMID: 26220828 Free article.
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
Bracher J, Ray EL, Gneiting T, Reich NG. Bracher J, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Feb 12;17(2):e1008618. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618. eCollection 2021 Feb. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 33577550 Free PMC article.
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.
Bracher J, Wolffram D, Deuschel J, Görgen K, Ketterer JL, Ullrich A, Abbott S, Barbarossa MV, Bertsimas D, Bhatia S, Bodych M, Bosse NI, Burgard JP, Castro L, Fairchild G, Fuhrmann J, Funk S, Gogolewski K, Gu Q, Heyder S, Hotz T, Kheifetz Y, Kirsten H, Krueger T, Krymova E, Li ML, Meinke JH, Michaud IJ, Niedzielewski K, Ożański T, Rakowski F, Scholz M, Soni S, Srivastava A, Zieliński J, Zou D, Gneiting T, Schienle M; List of Contributors by Team. Bracher J, et al. Nat Commun. 2021 Aug 27;12(1):5173. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0. Nat Commun. 2021. PMID: 34453047 Free PMC article.
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Sch… See abstract for full author list ➔ Cramer EY, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022. PMID: 35394862 Free PMC article.
Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling.
Reich NG, Lessler J, Funk S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Tibshirani RJ, Shea K, Schienle M, Runge MC, Rosenfeld R, Ray EL, Niehus R, Johnson HC, Johansson MA, Hochheiser H, Gardner L, Bracher J, Borchering RK, Biggerstaff M. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Am J Public Health. 2022 Jun;112(6):839-842. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2022.306831. Epub 2022 Apr 14. Am J Public Health. 2022. PMID: 35420897 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States.
Ray EL, Brooks LC, Bien J, Biggerstaff M, Bosse NI, Bracher J, Cramer EY, Funk S, Gerding A, Johansson MA, Rumack A, Wang Y, Zorn M, Tibshirani RJ, Reich NG. Ray EL, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Int J Forecast. 2023 Jul-Sep;39(3):1366-1383. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.06.005. Epub 2022 Jul 1. Int J Forecast. 2023. PMID: 35791416 Free PMC article.
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium. Cramer EY, et al. Among authors: bracher j. Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w. Sci Data. 2022. PMID: 35915104 Free PMC article.
36 results