Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is widely used in the therapy of stage II-III breast cancers and pathologic complete response (pCR; ypT0/is, ypN0) predicts excellent long-term survival. However, the correlation between improvement in pCR rate and survival is highly variable across trials. A major limitation of pCR is that it does not capture downstaging in patients with residual disease. We previously introduced the residual cancer burden score that measures pathologic response on a continuous scale. Comparison of residual cancer burden score distributions between trial arms reflects treatment efficacy more accurately than differences in pCR rate. We developed the treatment efficacy score as a new statistical metric that appears to be a better surrogate for trial arm-level survival improvement than pCR rate difference.
Keywords: early breast cancer; neoadjuvant chemotherapy; pathologic compete response; residual cancer burden; surrogate end point; treatment efficacy score.