Building a decision-support tool to inform sustainability approaches under complexity: Case study on managing wild ruminants

Ambio. 2024 Apr 17. doi: 10.1007/s13280-024-02020-9. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

In wildlife management, differing perspectives among stakeholders generate conflicts about how to achieve disparate sustainability goals that include ecological, economic, and sociocultural dimensions. To mitigate such conflicts, decisions regarding wildlife management must be taken thoughtfully. To our knowledge, there exists no integrative modeling framework to inform these decisions, considering all dimensions of sustainability. We constructed a decision-support tool based on stakeholder workshops and a Bayesian decision network to inform management of wild ruminants in the federal state of Lower Austria. We use collaborative decision analysis to compare resource allocations while accounting for trade-offs among dimensions of sustainability. The tool is designed for application by non-technical users across diverse decision-making contexts with particular sets of wildlife management actions, objectives, and uncertainties. Our tool represents an important step toward developing and evaluating a transparent and replicable approach for mitigating wildlife-based conflicts in Europe and beyond.

Keywords: Bayesian decision network; Collaborative decision analysis; Decision-support tool; Resource allocations; Stakeholder workshops; Wildlife-based conflicts.