A permutation information theory tour through different interest rate maturities: the Libor case

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2015 Dec 13;373(2056):20150119. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0119.

Abstract

This paper analyses Libor interest rates for seven different maturities and referred to operations in British pounds, euros, Swiss francs and Japanese yen, during the period 2001-2015. The analysis is performed by means of two quantifiers derived from information theory: the permutation Shannon entropy and the permutation Fisher information measure. An anomalous behaviour in the Libor is detected in all currencies except euros during the years 2006-2012. The stochastic switch is more severe in one, two and three months maturities. Given the special mechanism of Libor setting, we conjecture that the behaviour could have been produced by the manipulation that was uncovered by financial authorities. We argue that our methodology is pertinent as a market overseeing instrument.

Keywords: Fisher information measure; Libor manipulation; financial crisis; information theory; interest rates; permutation entropy.