Current Status of the Sari-Dzhas Natural Focus of Plague, Kyrgyzstan: Epizootic Activity and Marmot Population

The Sari-Dzhas natural mountain focus of plague with an area of 5000 sq. km is located mainly in Kyrgyzstan. This enzootic area belongs to a group of Tien-Shan mountain plague foci and crosses the boundaries of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and China. After collapse of Soviet Union, this area was not investigated fully, thence we have estimated current status of hosts and vectors comparing to 1977 in the Sari-Dzhas focus. For period 1977-2014, the number of the gray marmot (Marmota baibacina) as main host of plague has decreased twice due to regular chemical suppression of focal area, but now there is a tendency for population recovery. If negative impact of human activity (hunting, livestock, and tourism) will be minimized, the population density should rise in the near future, related to high reproduction score of animals. Significant increase of number of narrow-skulled vole (Microtus gregalis) observed on focus area in 1977-2017 can effort a risk of pathogen transmission in cross-populations of marmots provided by recovery of vector number between different hosts. For whole observation period in the Sari-Dzhas focus were described 33 species of marmot fleas with dominated Oropsylla silantiewi (67% from whole amount of fleas) and Radinopsilla li ventricosa (6.5%). Deep dustation of marmot burrows by 10% dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT) conducted in 1980s caused significant decrease of ectoparasite abundance: the number of specific fleas is strongly diminished, while recovery of ticks and lice number is faster. At the same time, Yersinia pestis constantly circulates in the focal area, which is comfortable for interacting of human populations and pathogen hosts. Last plague epizootic was recorded in 1983 and recent outbreaks among gray marmot and its vectors with varying intensity are registered again starting from 2012. Thus, the Sari-Dzhas natural plague focus remains active with all links of plague epizootic cycle (marmot-vector-rodent) and needs strong monitoring every year.