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Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021.
Borchering RK, Viboud C, Howerton E, Smith CP, Truelove S, Runge MC, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Salerno J, van Panhuis W, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Obrecht RF, Asher L, Costello C, Kelbaugh M, Wilson S, Shin L, Gallagher ME, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemaitre JC, Dent J, Grantz KH, Kaminsky J, Lauer SA, Lee EC, Meredith HR, Perez-Saez J, Keegan LT, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Schlitt J, Corbett P, Telionis PA, Wang L, Peddireddy AS, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Shea K, Lessler J. Borchering RK, et al. Among authors: peddireddy as. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2021 May 14;70(19):719-724. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7019e3. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2021. PMID: 33988185 Free PMC article.
Evaluating the impact of international airline suspensions on the early global spread of COVID-19.
Adiga A, Venkatramanan S, Schlitt J, Peddireddy A, Dickerman A, Bura A, Warren A, Klahn BD, Mao C, Xie D, Machi D, Raymond E, Meng F, Barrow G, Mortveit H, Chen J, Walke J, Goldstein J, Wilson ML, Orr M, Porebski P, Telionis PA, Beckman R, Hoops S, Eubank S, Baek YY, Lewis B, Marathe M, Barrett C. Adiga A, et al. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2020 Feb 23:2020.02.20.20025882. doi: 10.1101/2020.02.20.20025882. medRxiv. 2020. PMID: 32511466 Free PMC article. Preprint.
All Models Are Useful: Bayesian Ensembling for Robust High Resolution COVID-19 Forecasting.
Adiga A, Wang L, Hurt B, Peddireddy A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Lewis B, Marathe M. Adiga A, et al. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2021 Mar 13:2021.03.12.21253495. doi: 10.1101/2021.03.12.21253495. medRxiv. 2021. PMID: 33758893 Free PMC article. Preprint.
We present a forecasting pipeline which incorporates probabilistic forecasts from multiple statistical, machine learning and mechanistic methods through a Bayesian ensembling scheme, and has been operational for nearly 6 months serving local, state and federal policymakers in the …
We present a forecasting pipeline which incorporates probabilistic forecasts from multiple statistical, machine learning and mechanistic met …
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination.
Truelove S, Smith CP, Qin M, Mullany LC, Borchering RK, Lessler J, Shea K, Howerton E, Contamin L, Levander J, Salerno J, Hochheiser H, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemaitre JC, Dent J, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Perez-Saez J, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Schlitt J, Corbett P, Telionis PA, Wang L, Peddireddy AS, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Reich NG, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Runge MC, Viboud C. Truelove S, et al. Among authors: peddireddy as. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2021 Sep 2:2021.08.28.21262748. doi: 10.1101/2021.08.28.21262748. medRxiv. 2021. PMID: 34494030 Free PMC article. Updated. Preprint.
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium. Cramer EY, et al. Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w. Sci Data. 2022. PMID: 35915104 Free PMC article.
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021.
Lopez VK, Cramer EY, Pagano R, Drake JM, O'Dea EB, Adee M, Ayer T, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller PP, Xiao J, Bracher J, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Ray EL, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Pei S, Shaman J, Yamana TK, Tarasewicz SR, Wilson DJ, Baccam S, Gurung H, Stage S, Suchoski B, Gao L, Gu Z, Kim M, Li X, Wang G, Wang L, Wang Y, Yu S, Gardner L, Jindal S, Marshall M, Nixon K, Dent J, Hill AL, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Smith CP, Truelove S, Kinsey M, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Shin L, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Karlen D, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Osthus D, Bian J, Cao W, Gao Z, Lavista Ferres J, Li C, Liu TY, Xie X, Zhang S, Zheng S, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Walraven R, Chen J, Gu Q, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Gibson GC, Sheldon D, Srivastava A, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis B, Marathe M, Peddireddy AS, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Wang L, Prasad PV, Walker JW, Webber AE, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Reich NG, Johansson MA. Lopez VK, et al. Among authors: peddireddy as. PLoS Comput Biol. 2024 May 6;20(5):e1011200. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200. eCollection 2024 May. PLoS Comput Biol. 2024. PMID: 38709852 Free PMC article.