Characterization of the lung cancer epidemic in the European Union (1970-1990)

Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 1995 Dec;4(8):813-20.

Abstract

To characterize the situation of the lung cancer epidemic in the former European Community countries, we analyzed mortality time trends between 1970 and 1990, and by using Poisson log-linear models, we compared patterns of evolution between Mediterranean and non-Mediterranean countries. To ascertain the course traced by the cohort effect and the inflection points marking shifts in trend in the epidemic, we made use of invariant parameters from age-period-cohort models (net drift, curvature) and restricted slope range for cohort effect. Regarding men, whereas non-Mediterranean countries had already initiated the downward phase of the process, the Mediterranean countries, with the single exception of Italy, proved to be entirely in the development stage. Women evinced a different pattern of evolution in regard to both rate magnitudes and trend behavior. Apart from Spain and Greece, a sharp rise in adjusted and specific rates was observed for all countries.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Cohort Studies
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Disease Outbreaks / statistics & numerical data*
  • Europe / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Linear Models
  • Lung Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Lung Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality / trends*
  • Sex Factors