Childhood and adolescent cancer in Spain: mortality time trends 1956-1990

Eur J Cancer. 1995 Oct;31A(11):1811-21. doi: 10.1016/0959-8049(95)00427-k.

Abstract

Using log-linear Poisson modelling, trends in childhood cancer mortality among the population under 20 years of age in Spain are described over the 35-year period from 1956 to 1990. Overall cancer mortality and seven specific sites were considered: all leukaemias, Hodgkin's disease, non-Hodgkin's lymphomas, malignant brain tumours, kidney cancer, malignant bone neoplasms, and a broad category of ill-defined tumours. An age-period-cohort model was used to analyse the influence of age, period of death and birth cohort. Recent trends were estimated by restricting analysis to the last three 5-year periods. In general, mortality began to decline at the beginning of the 1970s, with reductions of 36% in males and 45% in females being registered between 1966-1970 and 1986-1990. The use of age-period-cohort models revealed an initially rising period effect attributable to diagnostic advances. The decline in mortality in post-1965 generations and the final downturn in the period effect are both most certainly a consequence of the remarkable progress achieved in the treatment of such tumours. During the final 15 years, there was a relative decline in mortality of approximately 20% every 5 years. However, in the case of malignant renal tumours in males and malignant bone tumours and non-Hodgkin's lymphomas in both sexes the situation remained stable.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Bone Neoplasms / mortality
  • Brain Neoplasms / mortality
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Effect
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Kidney Neoplasms / mortality
  • Leukemia / mortality
  • Lymphoma / mortality
  • Male
  • Mortality / trends
  • Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Sex Factors
  • Spain / epidemiology