A study on the prevalence and prognosis of progressive pulmonary fibrosis: A retrospective observational study

Abstract

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) encompasses a heterogeneous group of more than 200 diffuse parenchymal lung diseases with various clinical courses. Disease progression is one of the most important prognostic factors, and, the definition of progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) has recently been established. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence, risk factors, and prognosis of PPF among patients with non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in real-world practice. A total of 215 patients were retrospectively analyzed between January 2010 and June 2023 at the Haeundae Paik Hospital in the Republic of Korea. According to the criteria proposed in 2022 by Raghu et al, PPF defined as a condition that satisfies 2 or more of the following in the past year: worsening of respiratory symptoms, physiological evidence of disease progression, and radiological evidence of disease progression. The median age of the subjects was 67 years and 63.7% were female. A total of 40% was diagnosed with PPF and connective tissue disease-associated ILD (52.3%) was the most common type, followed by nonspecific interstitial pneumonitis (NSIP) (25.6%) and cryptogenic organizing pneumonitis (16.3%). In multivariate logistic regression for predicting PPF, both the use of steroids and immunosuppressants (OR: 2.57, 95% CI: 1.41-4.67, P = .002) and home oxygen use (OR: 25.17, 95% CI: 3.21-197.24, P = .002) were independent risk factors. During the follow-up period, the mortality rate was significantly higher in the PPF group than in the non-PPF group (24.4% vs 2.3%, P < .001). In the survival analysis using the Cox proportional hazard regression model, disease progression, older age and lower forced vital capacity (FVC) were independent risk factors for mortality. Our study demonstrated that the prevalence of PPF was 40%. Concomitant therapy of steroids with an immunosuppressants and home oxygen use are risk factors for PPF. PPF itself was significantly associated with high mortality rates. Risk factors for mortality were disease progression, older age, and lower FVC.