The exact moment approach (EMA) is adopted to predict, without any fitting parameters, the plate height curves for polystyrene microparticles of different sizes in micropillar array columns performed by hydrodynamic chromatography. The EMA allows us to decouple the contribution of horizontal and vertical dispersion terms and thus investigate the influence of pillar height and interpillar distance on separation performance. In the convection-controlled regime, we found that axial dispersion is mainly controlled by the vertical dispersion term, the latter being due to the flow-arresting top and bottom walls. This vertical contribution can be estimated from the axial dispersion in rectangular, open tubular channels formed between the pillars. Henceforth, plate height curves can be accurately predicted by simply adding the estimated vertical term to the horizontal dispersion term evaluated from 2D simulations. This finding allowed us to understand that, to improve separation performance, it is advisible to decrease the interpillar distance (expected result) and decrease the pillar height (counterintuitive result).