Background: The significance of tumor burden for survival is unknown for patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC). The purpose of our study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) and tumor burden score (TBS) in patients with R/M HNSCC.
Patients and methods: R/M HNSCC patients who were treated with cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil plus cetuximab (EPF) or pembrolizumab (PPF) as first-line treatment were included in our study. PD-L1 and TBS were estimated and correlated with treatment responses. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for outcomes estimation.
Results: A total of 252 R/M HNSCC patients were included, with 126 high tumor burden (HTB) and 126 low tumor burden (LTB) patients. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 7.1 months in LTB and 3.9 months in HTB (p < 0.001) and median overall survival (OS) was 14.2 months in LTB and 9.2 months in HTB (p = 0.001). Patients with LTB had better PFS and OS than those with HTB independent of PD-L1 status. Subgroup analysis showed HTB patients treated with EPF had better survival than those treated with PPF, regardless of PD-L1 expression. For LTB PD-L1 positive patients, there was a longer survival with PPF than EPF, while for LTB PD-L1 negative patients, survival was similar between PPF and EPF. Multivariate analysis exhibited that tumor burden was significantly correlated with OS.
Conclusions: Tumor burden is significantly correlated with survival in patients with R/M HNSCC. PD-L1 and TBS should be taken into consideration to determine first-line treatment.
Keywords: cetuximab; pembrolizumab; recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma; survival; tumor burden.