Prolonged elevated heart rate and 90-Day mortality in acute pancreatitis

Sci Rep. 2024 Apr 28;14(1):9740. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-59557-8.

Abstract

Prolonged elevated heart rate (peHR) is recognized as a risk factor for poor prognosis among critically ill patients. However, there is currently a lack of studies investigating the association between peHR and patients with acute pancreatitis. Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database was used to identify patients with acute pancreatitis. PeHR was defined as a heart rate exceeding 100 beats per minute for at least 11 out of 12 consecutive hours. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association between peHR and the 90-Day mortality. A total of 364 patients (48.9%) experienced a peHR episode. The 90-day mortality was 25%. PeHR is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality (HR, 1.98; 95% CI 1.53-2.56; P < 0.001). KM survival curves exhibited a significant decrease in the survival rate at 90 days among patients who experienced a peHR episode (P < 0.001, 84.5% vs. 65.1%). We revealed a significant association of peHR with decreased survival in a large cohort of ICU patients with acute pancreatitis.

Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; Heart rate; Mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Female
  • Heart Rate*
  • Humans
  • Intensive Care Units
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pancreatitis* / mortality
  • Pancreatitis* / physiopathology
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate