Determining the net input fluxes of pollutants based on the spatial source apportionment receptor model for early warning of regional soil pollution

Abstract

Understanding the soil pollutants' net input fluxes is essential for accurate early warning of regional soil pollution. However, the traditional input-output investigation method for soil pollutants' net input fluxes is often costly, especially at the regional scale. This study first assessed the land-use effects on soil heavy metals around a typical copper smelting area in China. Next, an improved spatial source apportionment receptor model, namely robust absolute principal component scores/robust geographically weighted regression with category land-use information (RAPCS/RGWR-CLU), was proposed to apportion the net source contributions, and its performance was compared with those of RAPCS/RGWR and the traditional absolute principal component scores/multiple linear regression (APCS/MLR). Finally, the net input fluxes of soil heavy metals were determined based on RAPCS/RGWR-CLU, and its performance was compared with that of the traditional input-output investigation method. Results showed that (i) land-use effects are significant for soil As, Cu, Pb, and Zn; (ii) RAPCS/RGWR-CLU achieves higher source apportionment accuracy than RAPCS/RGWR and APCS/MLR; and (iii) the net input fluxes determined by RAPCS/RGWR-CLU have similar accuracy to those determined by the traditional input-output investigation method but with significantly lower costs. Therefore, this study provided a cost-effective solution to determine the net input fluxes of soil pollutants.

Keywords: Early warning; Input-output pathways; Net input fluxes; Soil pollutants; Spatial source apportionment receptor model.