Background: The global prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasing, with diabetes accounting for the highest proportion. We analyzed the influence of clinical factors on the incidence of CKD according to the renal function, primary focusing on patients with diabetes. Methods: We used the Sample Cohorts Database provided by the National Health Insurance Sharing Service (NHISS) in Korea. Participants aged ≥ 40 years who underwent a health checkup in 2009 were categorized into six groups based on their eGFR values (<60 mL/min, 60-89 mL/min, ≥90 mL/min) and the presence of diabetes. And all patients with CKD at 2009 screening were excluded. The participants were tracked from 2010 to 31 December 2019. The CKD incidence rate according to the eGFR values and the effect of the accompanying factors on CKD incidence were confirmed. Results: 148,089 people without CKD were analyzed. The CKD incidence rate was highest in those with eGFR < 60 mL/min with diabetes and lowest in those with eGFR ≥ 90 mL/min without diabetes. The CKD incidence rates were similar between the eGFR < 60 mL/min group without diabetes and the eGFR 60-89 mL/min group with diabetes. Compared to under 44 years of age, the hazard ratio of CKD incidence was 8 times higher in over 75 years of age. Men had a 1.7-fold higher risk of developing CKD than women. Current smoker, hypertension, dyslipidemia, myocardial infarction history, and atrial fibrillation and flutter increased the risk of CKD incidence. Age, diabetes, and baseline eGFR are important factors in the occurrence of CKD. As age increases, the risk of developing CKD in men increases compared to women. Conclusions: These results will be helpful in predicting risk groups for CKD and establishing strategies to lowering CKD incidence.
Keywords: Korea; chronic kidney disease incidence; diabetes; estimated glomerular filtration rate.