Smoking, Lung Cancer Stage, and Prognostic Factors-Findings from the National Lung Screening Trial

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2024 Mar 26;21(4):400. doi: 10.3390/ijerph21040400.

Abstract

Background: Low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) increases the early detection of lung cancer. Identifying modifiable behaviors that may affect tumor progression in LDCT-detected patients increases the likelihood of long-term survival and a good quality of life.

Methods: We examined cigarette smoking behaviors on lung cancer stage, progression, and survival in 299 ever-smoking patients with low-dose CT-detected tumors from the National Lung Screening Trial. Univariate and multivariate Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for smoking variables on survival time.

Results: Current vs. former smokers and early morning smokers (≤5 min after waking, i.e., time to first cigarette (TTFC) ≤ 5 min) had more advanced-stage lung cancer. The adjusted HR for current vs. former smokers was 1.3 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.911-1.98, p = 0.136) for overall survival (OS) and 1.3 (0.893-1.87, p = 0.1736) for progression-free survival (PFS). The univariate hazard ratios for TTFC ≤ 5 min vs. >5 min were 1.56 (1.1-2.2, p = 0.013) for OS and 1.53 (1.1-2.12, p = 0.01) for PFS. Among current smokers, the corresponding HRs for early TTFC were 1.78 (1.16-2.74, p = 0.0088) and 1.95 (1.29-2.95, p = 0.0016) for OS and PFS, respectively. In causal mediation analysis, the TTFC effect on survival time was mediated entirely through lung cancer stage.

Conclusion: The current findings indicate smoking behaviors at diagnosis may affect lung cancer stage and prognosis.

Keywords: cancer stage; lung cancer; nicotine dependence; screening; survival; time to first cigarette.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Early Detection of Cancer*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Lung Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Smoking* / epidemiology
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*