Materials and methods: The study assessed major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft, percutaneous intervention, stroke, and death. Cox proportional hazards models assessed apolipoprotein AI (ApoA1), apolipoprotein B (ApoB), ceramide score, cystatin C, galectin-3 (Gal3), LDL-C, Non-HDL-C, total cholesterol (TC), N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (HscTnI) and soluble interleukin 1 receptor-like 1. In adjusted models, Ceramide score was defined by from N-palmitoyl-sphingosine [Cer(16:0)], N-stearoyl-sphingosine [Cer(18:0)], N-nervonoyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:1)] and N-lignoceroyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:0)]. Multi-biomarker models were compared with C-statistics and Integrated Discrimination Index (IDI).
Results: A total of 1131 patients were included. Adjusted NT proBNP per 1 SD resulted in a 31% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.31) and a 31% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.31). Adjusted Ceramide per 1 SD showed a 13% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.13) and a 29% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.29). These markers added to clinical factors for both MACE/death (p = 0.003) and stroke/MI (p = 0.034). HscTnI was not a predictor of outcomes when added to the models.
Discussion: Ceramide score and NT proBNP improve the prediction of MACE and stroke/MI in a community primary prevention cohort.
Keywords: Ceramide score; N-Terminal proBNP; coronary artery disease.
In a community cohort, where a wide range of biomarkers were evaluated, Ceramide score provided additive value over traditional cardiac risk factors alone for predicting stroke/MI. NT ProBNP provided additive value in prediction of MACE/death. Other biomarkers failed to improve the discrimination of these models.