Background: Primary tumor surgery (PTS) may enhance survival among part of patients with metastatic head and neck cancer (mHNC). Herein, a predictive model was needed to construct to identify who can gain benefit remarkably from tumor resection.
Methods: Data of patients with mHNC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The best cut-off value of age were analyzed using the X-tile software. One-to-one PSM, Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank test were performed for survival analysis.The independent factors determined using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were used to construct the nomogram.
Results: A total of 1,614 patients diagnosed with mHNC were included; among them, 356 (22.0%) underwent a surgical procedure for the excision of the primary tumor. cancer-specific survival (CSS) was remarkably prolonged in the PTS group relative to the non-PTS group following PSM [Median:19 months vs. 9 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.52, P < 0.001]. Patients with mHNC who were younger than 52 years old, had well-differentiated tumors, had T1 and N0 stages, and were married at the time of the study may have significantly benefited from PTS. In addition, we constructed a nomogram based on the factors that independently affect the CSS in multivariate Cox analysis. The nomogram showed excellent discrimination in both the training and validation sets (AUC: 0.732 and 0.738, respectively).
Conclusion: A practical predictive model was constructed to determine the appropriate patients with mHNC, who would benefit from surgical resection.
Keywords: SEER; head and neck cancer; metastasis; nomogram; predictive models.
© 2024 Liang, Zhuang and Li.