Physical mechanism-corrected degradation trend prediction network under data missing

ISA Trans. 2024 Apr 17:S0019-0578(24)00173-3. doi: 10.1016/j.isatra.2024.04.018. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Accurate degradation trend prediction (DTP) is crucial for optimizing equipment operation and maintenance, thereby boosting production efficiency. This study introduces a novel Data Repair and Dual-data-stream LSTM (DR-DLSTM) network to tackle the challenge of missing data in equipment DTP. The proposed DR-DLSTM framework employs convex optimization to consider both the trend and periodic variations in the data, incorporating polynomial and trigonometric functions into the implicit feature matrix to construct latent vectors for missing data rectification. The network features a Dual-LSTM block with dual data streams to enhance feature extraction, with two gating update units correlating time series components and redistributing feature weights. The Dual-LSTM enables separate and accurate prediction of trend and periodic components, thereby enhancing the feature extraction capability of the prediction model. Additionally, the integration of physical rule information through Fourier and wavelet transform frequency correction modules allows for dynamic adjustments in prediction outcomes, from global trends to localized details. The DR-DLSTM's effectiveness is demonstrated through comprehensive comparisons with state-of-the-art models across multiple datasets, highlighting its superior performance. The results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model. These algorithms were implemented in Python using Torch on a 2.9 GHz Intel I7 CPU and TITAN Xp GPU.

Keywords: Data repair; Degradation trend prediction; Dual-frequency modification unit; Latent vector; Signal decomposition.