Italy: toward a growth-friendly fiscal reform

Econ Polit (Bologna). 2021;38(1):385-420. doi: 10.1007/s40888-020-00198-1. Epub 2020 Sep 16.

Abstract

Published in late 2017, the Italian medium-term fiscal plan aims to achieve structural balance by 2020, although concrete, high-quality measures to meet the target are yet to be specified. This paper seeks to contribute to the discussion by (1) assessing spending patterns to identify areas for savings; (2) evaluating the pension system; (3) analyzing the scope for revenue rebalancing; and (4) putting forward a package of spending cuts and tax rebalancing that is growth friendly and inclusive, could have limited near-term output costs, and would achieve a notable reduction in public debt over the medium term. Such a package could help the authorities balance the need to bring down public debt and, thus, reduce vulnerabilities while supporting the economic recovery.

Keywords: Fiscal reform; Growth-friendly fiscal policy; Italy; Public pensions.