Research question: Should ovulation be triggered in a modified natural cycle (mNC) with recombinant human chorionic gonadotrophin (rHCG) as soon as a mean follicle diameter of 17 mm is visible, or is more flexible planning possible?
Design: This multicentre, retrospective, observational study of 3087 single frozen blastocyst transfers in mNC was carried out between January 2020 and September 2022. The inclusion criteria included endometrial thickness ≥7 mm and serum progesterone <1.5 ng/ml. The main outcome was ongoing pregnancy rate. Secondary end-points were pregnancy rate, implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate and miscarriage rate. The mean follicle size at triggering was stratified into three groups (13.0-15.9, 16.0-18.9 and 19.0-22 mm).
Results: The baseline characteristics between the groups did not vary significantly for age, body mass index and the donor's age for egg donation. No differences were found in pregnancy rate (64.5%, 60.2% and 57.4%; P = 0.19), clinical pregnancy rate (60.5%, 52.8% and 50.6%; P = 0.10), implantation rate (62.10%, 52.9% and 51.0%; P = 0.05) or miscarriage rate (15.0%, 22.2%; and 25.0%; P = 0.11). Although ongoing pregnancy rate (54.9%, 46.8% and 43.1%; P = 0.02) varied significantly in the univariable analysis, it was no longer significant after adjustment for the use of preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies and egg donation.
Conclusions: The findings showed rHCG could be flexibly administered with a mean follicle size between 13 and 22 mm as long as adequate endometrial characteristics are met, and serum progesterone is <1.5 ng/ml. Considering the follicular growth rate of 1-1.5 mm/day, this approach could allow a flexibility for FET scheduling of 6-7 days, simplifying mNC FET planning in clinical practice.
Keywords: Cycle scheduling; Endometrial preparation; Frozen embryo transfer; Modified natural cycle; Ongoing pregnancy rate.
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