Background: Violent interpersonal acts account for a large proportion of unnatural deaths in South Africa. A significant proportion of unnatural deaths are due to penetrating thoracic trauma and preventable haemorrhage. Current indications for emergent thoracotomy are unreliable. We propose the use of lactate, shock index (SI) and base deficit (BD) as a triage tool in patients with penetrating thoracic injuries to identify those requiring surgical intervention.
Methods: A review of the trauma registry of the Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital (CMJAH) was carried out between March 2011 and March 2016. Four hundred and ninety (490) patients were collected consisting of a non-operative group of 246 patients and an operative group of 244 patients. We compared lactate, SI and BD independently and within panels to ascertain which would best predict the need for operative intervention in these patients. Abnormal was defined as lactate ≥ 4 mmol/l, SI ≥ 0.8 and BD ≤ -4 mmol/l.
Results: Of the 490 patients, lactate (p < 0.001), SI (p < 0.001) and BD (p < 0.001) differed significantly between operative and non-operative groups. Statistical significance was lost (p = 0.34) once BD was analysed in combination with lactate and SI. Lactate alone was a strong predictor of the need for intervention (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.814). The strongest predictor was a combined panel of lactate and SI (AUC = 0.8308, p < 0.001).
Conclusion: Lactate and SI in combination are useful as triage tools, and could assist in decision making, by predicting which patients are more likely to require surgical intervention.
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