Epidemiological studies have linked obesity to the onset of puberty, while its causality and the potential metabolite mediators remain unclear. We employed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) design to evaluate the causal effects of obesity on puberty onset and its associated diseases including type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The potential mediators in this pathway were further explored using a two-step MR design. The robustness of our findings was evaluated using sensitivity analyses. Our MR results revealed that childhood obesity/BMI were causally associated with an increased Tanner stage in girls, younger age at menarche, and increased risk of adulthood T2D and CVD. However, neither childhood BMI nor obesity had a causal effect on the Tanner stage in boys. Mediation analysis further indicated that increased creatine served as a mediator for the causal pathway from childhood obesity/BMI to the Tanner stage of girls, while early puberty onset in girls played a mediating role in the pathway linking childhood obesity to increased risk of adulthood T2D and CVD. This study indicated that the risk of early puberty onset in girls and its associated health issues can be potentially reduced by preventing childhood obesity. The involvement of creatine in this process needs to be further validated and explored.
Keywords: Mendelian randomization; Tanner stage; age of menarche; cardiovascular diseases; mediation analysis; obesity; puberty; type 2 diabetes.