Changing profiles of the burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributable to smoking in the belt and road initiative countries: A secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019

Zheng Luo; Xin He; Huihui Lv; Qizhe Wang; Wenchang Jia; Yajun Zhao; Xinyi Li; Jiali Yu; Hongyu Hao; Yun Bao; Nuo Chen; Xiaopan Li

doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27935

Changing profiles of the burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributable to smoking in the belt and road initiative countries: A secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019

Heliyon. 2024 Mar 13;10(6):e27935. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27935. eCollection 2024 Mar 30.

Authors

Zheng Luo¹, Xin He², Huihui Lv³, Qizhe Wang⁴, Wenchang Jia^{4

5}, Yajun Zhao⁴, Xinyi Li⁴, Jiali Yu⁴, Hongyu Hao⁴, Yun Bao⁴, Nuo Chen⁴, Xiaopan Li⁴

Affiliations

¹ Department of Neurology, Shanghai University of Medicine & Health Sciences Affiliated Zhoupu Hospital, Shanghai, 200316, China.
² Department of Neurology, Kaifeng 155 Hospital, Henan, 475003, China.
³ Department of Neurology, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, China.
⁴ Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
⁵ School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.

Abstract

Objectives: This study was aimed at analyzing the burden and trend of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributed to smoking (SADD) in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries during 1990-2019.

Methods: Data from The 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study was used to extract information on the burden of SADD in terms of the numbers and age-standardized rate of mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDALR) in the BRI countries for 1990-2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the temporal trends of ASDALR from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade by Joinpoint regression analysis.

Results: The DALYs of SADD were the highest in China, India, and the Russian Federation in 1990 and in Lebanon, Montenegro and Bosnia, and Herzegovina in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the ASDALR in China had increased from 55.50/10⁵ to 66.18/10⁵, but decreased from 2010 to 2019, while that of India had declined from 32.84/10⁵ to 29.35/10⁵, but increased from 2010 to 2019. The ASDALR showed the fastest increase in the Russian Federation, with AAPC of 1.97% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.77%, 2.16%), and the fastest decline in Sri Lanka, with AAPC of -2.69% (95% CI: 2.79%, -2.59%). ASMR and ASDALR from SADD showed a substantial decline during 1990-2019 both globally and in the different socio-demographic index (SDI) regions (all P < 0.05, except for the high-middle-SDI region). Compared to the rates in males, the AAPC in ASDALR of females was significantly greater in 20 countries(all P < 0.05). In the age group of 20-54 years, the DALYs rate showed a decreasing trend only in 13 members in the low-SDI region (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion: Under the premise of eliminating the differences, mobilizing resources in the country itself, the BRI organization, and globally will help reduce the global SADD burden and achieve healthy and sustainable development.

Keywords: Belt and Road initiative countries; Burden of disease; Dementia; Disability-adjusted life years; Smoking; Trend analysis.