Comparison of Contemporary Risk Scores in All Groups of Pulmonary Hypertension: A Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute GoDeep Meta-Registry Analysis

Abstract

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a heterogeneous disease with a poor prognosis. Accurate risk stratification is essential for guiding treatment decisions in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Although various risk models have been developed for PAH, their comparative prognostic potential requires further exploration. Additionally, the applicability of risk scores in PH groups beyond group 1 remains to be investigated.

Research question: Are risk scores originally developed for PAH predictive in PH groups 1 through 4?

Study design and methods: We conducted a comprehensive analysis of outcomes among patients with incident PH enrolled in the multicenter worldwide Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute GoDeep meta-registry. Analyses were performed across PH groups 1 through 4 and further subgroups to evaluate the predictive value of PAH risk scores, including REVEAL Lite 2, REVEAL 2.0, ESC/ERS 2022, COMPERA 3-strata, and COMPERA 4-strata.

Results: Eight thousand five hundred sixty-five patients were included in the study, of whom 3,537 patients were assigned to group 1 PH, whereas 1,807 patients, 1,635 patients, and 1,586 patients were assigned to group 2 PH, group 3 PH, and group 4 PH, respectively. Pulmonary hemodynamics were impaired with median mean pulmonary arterial pressure of 42 mm Hg (33-52 mm Hg) and pulmonary vascular resistance of 7 WU (4-11 WU). All risk scores were prognostic in the entire PH population and in each of the PH groups 1 through 4. The REVEAL scores, when used as continuous prediction models, demonstrated the highest statistical prognostic power and granularity; the COMPERA 4-strata risk score provided subdifferentiation of the intermediate-risk group. Similar results were obtained when separately analyzing various subgroups (PH subgroups 1.1, 1.4.1, and 1.4.4; PH subgroups 3.1 and 3.2; group 2 with isolated postcapillary PH vs combined precapillary and postcapillary PH; patients of all groups with concomitant cardiac comorbidities; and severe [> 5 WU] vs nonsevere PH).

Interpretation: This comprehensive study with real-world data from 15 PH centers showed that PAH-designed risk scores possess predictive power in a large PH cohort, whether considered as common to the group or calculated separately for each PH group (1-4) and various subgroups.

Keywords: PVRI GoDeep meta-registry; multicenter; predictive power; pulmonary hypertension; risk stratification.