Interval estimation in three-class receiver operating characteristic analysis: A fairly general approach based on the empirical likelihood

Stat Methods Med Res. 2024 May;33(5):875-893. doi: 10.1177/09622802241238998. Epub 2024 Mar 19.

Abstract

The empirical likelihood is a powerful nonparametric tool, that emulates its parametric counterpart-the parametric likelihood-preserving many of its large-sample properties. This article tackles the problem of assessing the discriminatory power of three-class diagnostic tests from an empirical likelihood perspective. In particular, we concentrate on interval estimation in a three-class receiver operating characteristic analysis, where a variety of inferential tasks could be of interest. We present novel theoretical results and tailored techniques studied to efficiently solve some of such tasks. Extensive simulation experiments are provided in a supporting role, with our novel proposals compared to existing competitors, when possible. It emerges that our new proposals are extremely flexible, being able to compete with contestants and appearing suited to accommodating several distributions, such, for example, mixtures, for target populations. We illustrate the application of the novel proposals with a real data example. The article ends with a discussion and a presentation of some directions for future research.

Keywords: Bootstrap; diagnostic test; nonparametric inference; receiver operating characteristic surface; volume under the receiver operating characteristic surface.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Diagnostic Tests, Routine / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Models, Statistical
  • ROC Curve*