Prevalence of at-risk MASH, MetALD and alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease in the general population

Abstract

Background: The prevalence of at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (at-risk MASH) has not been systematically assessed.

Aim: To delineate the prevalence of at-risk MASH in a large population-based cohort.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 40,189 patients in the UK Biobank who underwent liver MRI. Hepatic steatosis was determined by proton density fat fraction (PDFF) ≥5%. Based on AASLD criteria, participants were classified as alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease (ALD), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), combined metabolic alcoholic liver disease (MetALD) and at-risk MASH.

Results: Among 40,189 patients, 10,886 (27.0%) had a PDFF ≥5%, indicating SLD. Among patients with SLD, 1% had ALD, 89.0% had MASLD, 7.9% had MetALD and 2.2% had at-risk MASH. The at-risk MASH group, which included 0.6% of the general population, had the highest mean liver fat on MRI and the highest BMI. Serum biomarkers highlighted increased inflammation and metabolic changes in at-risk MASH. The prevalence of MASLD was significantly higher among men with a BMI ≥30 kg/m². Non-obese women showed only a 12% risk of MASLD. Conversely, MetALD had similar prevalence in obese men and women and was absent in non-obese women.

Conclusions: MASLD is prevalent among patients with elevated PDFF on MRI. There are different sex- and BMI-specific prevalence of different steatotic liver disorders. At-risk MASH demonstrates the most severe metabolic and inflammatory profiles. This study provides novel estimates for the at-risk MASH population that will be eligible for treatment with pharmacologic therapy when approved by regulatory authorities.