A critical determinant of infectivity and virulence of the most infectious and or lethal variants of concern (VOCs): Wild Type, Delta and Omicron is related to the binding interactions between the receptor-binding domain of the spike and its host receptor, the initial step in cell infection. It is of the utmost importance to understand how mutations of a viral strain, especially those that are in the viral spike, affect the resulting infectivity of the emerging VOC, knowledge that could help us understand the variant virulence and inform the therapies applied or the vaccines developed. For this sake, we have applied a battery of computational protocols of increasing complexity to the calculation of the spike binding affinity for three variants of concern to the ACE2 cell receptor. The results clearly illustrate that the attachment of the spikes of the Delta and Omicron variants to the receptor originates through different molecular interaction mechanisms. All our protocols unanimously predict that the Delta variant has the highest receptor-binding affinity, while the Omicron variant displays a substantial variability in the binding affinity of the spike that relates to the structural plasticity of the Omicron spike-receptor complex. We suggest that the latter result could explain (at least in part) the variability of the in vitro binding results for this VOC and has led us to suggest a reason for the lower virulence of the Omicron variant as compared to earlier strains. Several hypotheses have been developed around this subject.
Keywords: COV-2; molecular mechanics calculations; molecular mechanism; spike–receptor affinities; variant infectivity; variants of concern.