Prognostic implications of T stage in different pathological types of colorectal cancer: an observational study using SEER population-based data

Abstract

Objectives: Colorectal cancer (CRC) encompasses a spectrum of pathological types, each exhibiting distinct biological behaviours that challenge the conventional T-staging system's predictive efficiency. Thus, this study aims to explore the prognostic significance of the T stage across various CRC pathological types, seeking to unravel insights that could enhance prognostic assessment in this complex disease.

Study design: We performed a retrospective analysis using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for primary CRC cases from 2010 to 2017.

Setting: The SEER database, comprising data from various US regional and state cancer registries, identified 39 321 patients with CRC. Our analysis focused on the three most common CRC pathological types: adenocarcinoma (AC), mucinous adenocarcinoma (MC) and signet ring cell carcinoma (SR).

Primary outcome measures: The study used Cox regression models to evaluate how different pathological characteristics impact mortality risk in patients with CRC. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were also applied to assess the prognostic accuracy of various tumour node metastasis (TNM)/non-mucinous (NM) stages.

Results: We observed significant associations between T stage and mortality risk for patients with AC and MC. Notably, in comparison to those at T1 stage, patients with AC in the T4 stage demonstrated a 2.01-fold increase in mortality risk (HR=2.01, 95% CI: 1.89 to 2.15), while patients with MC at T4 stage showed a 1.42-fold increase (HR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.97). However, within the SR group, T stages did not independently impact survival, showing no significant distinction (HR=1.07, 95% CI: 0.59 to 1.95). Intriguingly, the traditional TNM staging systems demonstrated limited discriminatory power in predicting prognosis for patients with SR when compared with the more innovative NM staging systems.

Conclusions: This study uncovers important insights about the prognostic significance of the T stage in different types of CRC, highlighting the need for personalised assessments based on specific histological subtypes.

Keywords: colorectal surgery; histology; prognosis.