Prognostic implication of UBE2C + CD8 + T cell in neoadjuvant immune checkpoint blockade plus chemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer

Abstract

Background: Immune checkpoint blockers (ICBs) plus chemotherapy as neoadjuvant therapy for patients with esophageal cancer (EC) has gained substantial attention. This study aimed to investigate the early and mid-term outcome of neoadjuvant ICBs plus chemotherapy and discover immune-associated predictors of major pathological response (MPR) for locally advanced EC.

Method: Patients with locally advanced EC who received neoadjuvant ICBs plus chemotherapy were retrospectively included between June 2019 to December 2021. Conjoint analysis of Bulk-RNA seq (GSE165252) and scRNA seq (GSE188900) were used to investigate potential prognostic factors and immunological mechanisms, then multiplexed immunofluorescence was applied to validate.

Results: 76 patients were included. A total of 21 (27.6 %) patients achieved MPR, with 13 (17.1 %) attaining a pathological complete response. Over a median follow-up of 1.8 years, 6 (7.9 %) patients died and 21 (27.6 %) experienced disease recurrence within 0.6 to 2.1 years after surgery. The overall survival rate and recurrence-free survival rate were 93.3 + 2.9 % and 84.8 + 4.2 % at 12 months, 90.8 + 3.7 % and 67.1 + 6.4 % at 24 months, and 90.8 + 3.7 % and 62.9 + 7.2 % at 36 months, respectively. Patients achieving MPR had a significantly lower risk of recurrence compared to non-responders (9.5 % vs 34.5 %, P = 0.017). Analysis of bulk-RNA seq and scRNA-seq revealed that UBE2C and UBE2C + CD8 + T cells were adverse prognostic factors. Immunohistochemistry demonstrated that the non-MPR group had a higher infiltration of UBE2C + immune cells than MPR group after neoadjuvant treatment. Multiplexed immunofluorescence confirmed that infiltrating UBE2C + CD8 + T cells in MPR group were significantly fewer than non-MPR group after neoadjuvant treatment, indicating their poor prognostic role for EC.

Conclusions: Neoadjuvant ICBs plus chemotherapy shows promising efficacy in locally advanced EC, with MPR being a significant predictor of lower recurrence risk. Immunological analyses identified UBE2C + CD8 + T cells as adverse prognostic factors, suggesting their potential as biomarkers for patient stratification and treatment response.

Keywords: Esophageal cancer; Immune checkpoint blockers; Neoadjuvant; Ubiquitin-conjugating enzyme E2C (UBE2C).