Combining machine learning and remote sensing-integrated crop modeling for rice and soybean crop simulation

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) techniques offer a promising avenue for improving the integration of remote sensing data into mathematical crop models, thereby enhancing crop growth prediction accuracy. A critical variable for this integration is the leaf area index (LAI), which can be accurately assessed using proximal or remote sensing data based on plant canopies. This study aimed to (1) develop a machine learning-based method for estimating the LAI in rice and soybean crops using proximal sensing data and (2) evaluate the performance of a Remote Sensing-Integrated Crop Model (RSCM) when integrated with the ML algorithms. To achieve these objectives, we analyzed rice and soybean datasets to identify the most effective ML algorithms for modeling the relationship between LAI and vegetation indices derived from canopy reflectance measurements. Our analyses employed a variety of ML regression models, including ridge, lasso, support vector machine, random forest, and extra trees. Among these, the extra trees regression model demonstrated the best performance, achieving test scores of 0.86 and 0.89 for rice and soybean crops, respectively. This model closely replicated observed LAI values under different nitrogen treatments, achieving Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.93 for rice and 0.97 for soybean. Our findings show that incorporating ML techniques into RSCM effectively captures seasonal LAI variations across diverse field management practices, offering significant potential for improving crop growth and productivity monitoring.

Keywords: crop; leaf area index; machine learning; modeling; remote sensing; rice; soybean; vegetation index.