A novel hybrid modelling framework for GPP estimation: Integrating a multispectral surface reflectance based Vcmax25 simulator into the process-based model

Sci Total Environ. 2024 Apr 15:921:171182. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171182. Epub 2024 Feb 23.

Abstract

Terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) is the key element in the carbon cycle process. Accurate GPP estimation hinges on the maximum carboxylation rate (Vcmax,025). The high uncertainty in deriving ecosystem-level Vcmax,025 has long hampered efforts toward the performance of the GPP model. Recently studies suggest the strong relationship between spectral reflectance and Vcmax,025. We proposed the multispectral surface reflectance-driven Vcmax,025 simulator using the fully connected deep neural network and built the hybrid modelling framework for GPP estimation by integrating the data-driven Vcmax,025 simulator in the process-based model. The performance of hybrid GPP model was evaluated at 95 flux sites. The result shows that the multispectral surface reflectance-driven Vcmax,025 simulator acquires the satisfactory estimation, with correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE) and median absolute percentage error (MdAPE) ranging from 0.34 to 0.80, 14 to 43 μmol m-2 s-1 and 21 % to 66 % across different land cover types, respectively. The hybrid framework generates good GPP estimates with R, RMSE and MdAPE varying from 0.76 to 0.89, 1.79 to 6.16 μmol m-2 s-1 and 27 % to 90 %, respectively. Compared with EVI-driven method, the multispectral surface reflectance significantly improves the Vcmax,025 and GPP estimates, with MdAPE declining by 0.6 %-18 % and 1 % to 21 %, respectively. The Shapley value analysis reveals that red (620-670 nm), near-infrared (841-876 nm) and shortwave infrared (1628-1652 nm and 2105-2155 nm) are the key bands for Vcmax,025 estimation. This study highlights the potential of multispectral surface reflectance for quantifying ecosystem-level Vcmax,025. The new hybrid framework fully extracts the information of all available spectral bands using deep learning to reduce parameter uncertainty while maintains the description of photosynthetic process to ensure its physical reasonability. It can serve as a powerful tool for accurate global GPP estimation.

Keywords: GPP; Hybrid modelling; Maximum carboxylation rate; Multispectral surface reflectance.