Background: Patients treated for Substance Use Disorders exhibit highly fluctuating patterns of craving that could reveal novel prognostic markers of use. Accordingly, we 1) measured fluctuations within intensively repeated measures of craving and 2) linked fluctuations of craving to connectivity indices within resting-state (rs) brain regions to assess their relation to use among patients undergoing treatment for Alcohol, Tobacco and Cannabis Use Disorders.
Method: Participants -64 individuals with SUD for tobacco, alcohol, or cannabis and 35 healthy controls-completed a week of Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) during which they reported craving intensity and substance use five times daily. Before EMA, a subsample of 50 patients, and 34 healthy controls also completed resting-state (rs)-MRI acquisitions. Craving temporal dynamics within each day were characterized using Standard Deviation (SD), Auto-Correlation Factor (ACF), and Mean Successive Square Difference (MSSD). Absolute Difference (AD) in craving between assessments was a prospective prediction measure.
Results: Within-day, higher MSSD predicted greater substance use while controlling for mean craving. Prospectively higher AD predicted later increased substance use independently of previous use or craving level. Moreover, MSSD was linked to strength in five functional neural connections, most involving frontotemporal systems. Cerebello-thalamic and thalamo-frontal connectivity were also linked to substance use and distinguished the SUD from the controls.
Conclusion: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to indicate that instability in craving may be a trigger for use in several SUD types, beyond the known effect of craving intensity.
Keywords: Craving; Dynamic; EMA; Markers; Resting state; Substance use.