Hybrid nonlinear regression model versus MARS, MEP, and ANN to evaluate the effect of the size and content of waste tire rubber on the compressive strength of concrete

Dilshad Kakasor Ismael Jaf; Aso Abdalla; Ahmed Salih Mohammed; Payam Ismael Abdulrahman; Rawaz Kurda; Azad A Mohammed

doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25997

Hybrid nonlinear regression model versus MARS, MEP, and ANN to evaluate the effect of the size and content of waste tire rubber on the compressive strength of concrete

Heliyon. 2024 Feb 11;10(4):e25997. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25997. eCollection 2024 Feb 29.

Authors

Dilshad Kakasor Ismael Jaf¹, Aso Abdalla², Ahmed Salih Mohammed², Payam Ismael Abdulrahman³, Rawaz Kurda^{4

5

6}, Azad A Mohammed²

Affiliations

¹ Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Kurdistan, Iraq.
² Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering, University of Sulaimani, Kurdistan, Iraq.
³ Scientific Research Centre, Soran University, Soran, Kurdistan Region, Iraq.
⁴ Department of Highway and Bridge Engineering, Technical Engineering College, Erbil Polytechnic University, Erbil, 44001, Iraq.
⁵ Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Nawroz University, Duhok, 42001, Iraq.
⁶ CERIS, Civil Engineering, Architecture and Georresources Department, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001, Lisbon, Portugal.

Abstract

Tire rubber waste is globally accumulated every year. Therefore, a solution to this problem should be found since, if landfilled, it is not biodegradable and causes environmental issues. One of the most effective ways is recycling those wastes or using them as a replacement for normal aggregate in the concrete mixture, which has high impact resistance and toughness; thus, it will be a good choice. In this study, 135 data were collected from previous literature to develop a model for the prediction of rubberized concrete compressive strength; the database comprised different mixture proportions, the maximum size of the rubber (1-40 mm), and the rubber percentage (0-100%) replacing natural fine and coarse aggregates were among the input parameters in addition to cement content (380-500 kg/m³) water content (129-228 kg/m³), fine aggregate content (0-925 kg/m³), coarse aggregate content (0-1303 kg/m³), and curing time of the samples (1-96 Days); then the collected data were used in developing Multi Expression Programming (MEP), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Multi Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS), and Nonlinear Regression (NLR) Models for predicting compressive strength (CS) of rubberized concrete. The parametric analysis reveals that as the maximum rubber size increases, the reduction in compressive strength becomes more pronounced. Notably, this strength decline is more significant when rubber replaces coarse aggregate than its replacement of fine aggregate. Among the input parameters considered, it is evident that the fine aggregate content exerts the most substantial influence on the compressive strength of rubberized concrete. Its impact on predicting compressive strength surpasses other factors, with the concrete samples' curing time ranking second in importance. According to the assessment tools, the ANN model performed better than other developed models, with high R² and lower RMSE, MAE, SI, and MAPE. Additionally, ANN and MARS models predicted the CS of different sizes better than MEP and NLR models. Subsequently, we employed the collected data to develop predictive models using Multi Expression Programming (MEP), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Multi Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS), and Nonlinear Regression (NLR) techniques to forecast the compressive strength (CS) of rubberized concrete. The statistical analysis tools assessed the performance of these developed models through various evaluation criteria, including the Coefficient of Determination (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Scatter Index (SI), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). In summary, our study underscores the efficacy of recycling rubber materials in concrete production. It presents a powerful predictive model for assessing the compressive strength of rubberized concrete, with the ANN model standing out as the most accurate and reliable choice for this purpose.

Keywords: Compressive strength; Fine and coarse aggregate replacement; Modeling; Rubberized concrete.