Background: Chronic kidney failure (CKF) is often treated with dialysis, which is invasive and costly and carries major medical risks. The existing studies of patients with CKF requiring dialysis that are based on claims data from German statutory health insurance (SHI) carriers employ varying definitions of this entity, with unclear consequences for the resulting statistical estimates.
Methods: We carried out a cohort study on four random samples, each consisting of 62 200 persons aged 70 or above, from among the insurees of the SHI AOK Nordost, with one sample for each of the years 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018. The prevalence, incidence, mortality, and direct health-care costs of CKF requiring dialysis were estimated and compared on the basis of four different definitions from literature and a new definition developed by the authors in reference to billing data.
Results: The different definitions led to variation in 12-month prevalences (range: 0.33-0.61%) and 6-month incidences (0.058-0.100%). The percentage of patients with prior acute kidney injury (AKI) ranged from 27.6% to 61.8%. Among incident patients, three-month survival ranged from 70.2% to 88.1%, and six-month survival from 60.5% to 81.3%. In CKF patients without prior AKI, the survival curves differed less across definitions (80.2-91.8% at three months, 70.7-84.4% at six months). The monthly health-care costs ranged from €6010 to €9606, with marked variability across definitions in the costs of inpatient and outpatient care.
Conclusion: The lack of a standardized definition of CKF requiring dialysis in German SHI claims data leads to variability in the estimated case numbers, mortality, and health-care costs. These differences are most probably in part due to the variable inclusion of inpatients who received short-term dialysis after AKI.