Objective: The GALAD score, a serum biomarker-based model, predicts the likelihood of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic liver disease. We evaluated the performance of the GALAD score compared to that of liver ultrasound in detecting HCC.
Patients and methods: This study recruited a group of 136 patients with HCC and a control group of 436 patients with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B or hepatitis C. The performance of the GALAD score and ultrasound in detecting HCC in these patients was analyzed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The sensitivity and specificity of the optimal GALAD score were compared to those of ultrasound.
Results: The AUC of the GALAD score for detecting HCC was 0.940 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92-0.96], higher than that of ultrasound [0.939 (0.91-0.96), p < 0.001]. At a threshold of 1.24, the GALAD score had a sensitivity of 91.2% and a specificity of 81.9% for detecting HCC. The AUC of the GALAD score for early HCC detection was 0.75 (95% CI 0.71-0.80, p < 0.001; threshold 1.13, sensitivity 87.5%, specificity 67.8%, p < 0.001). The combination of GALAD and ultrasound (GALADUS score) showed further improvement, achieving an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.96-0.99; cut-off point 1.37, sensitivity 95.6%, specificity 89.2%, p < 0.001).
Conclusions: In our study, the GALADUS score showed improved performance compared to the GALAD score. Therefore, we suggest that the performance of the GALAD score should be reconsidered and that it should be evaluated in combination with ultrasound for HCC detection.