Association of soluble PD-L1 and NLR combination with 1-Year mortality in patients with COVID-19

Abstract

Purpose: Understanding the relationship between patient immune characteristics, disease severity, and mortality represents a critical step in the fight against COVID-19. Elevated levels of programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) and Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are linked to increased severity of acute COVID-19 in patients. This study aimed to investigate the association of the combination of sPD-L1 and NLR with 1-year Mortality in patients with COVID-19.

Methods: A prospective study was conducted involving patients with COVID-19 in Karaganda, Kazakhstan. The level of sPD-L1 in the blood serum was evaluated by ELISA. The effect of biomarkers on the development of mortality was analyzed with multivariate regression.

Results: The risk of mortality within one year HR was 2.46 if the plasma sPD-L1 value of more than 277.13 pg/ml, and for NLR more than 2.46 HR was 2.87. The model of combining sPD-L1 and NLR resulted in an improvement in the predictive accuracy of the Hazard Ratio 7.6 (95 % CI: 3.02-19.11).

Conclusion: The combination of two immune-mediated markers (sPD-L1 and NLR), which reflect the systemic inflammatory balance of activation and exhaustion, can complement each other and improve the assessment of the risk of death in patients with COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19; Humoral and cellular immune response; Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio; Post-COVID Mortality; sPDL‐1.