Aim: Relapse rates are very high in schizophrenia. However, little is known about the predictors of the time to relapse other than treatment non-adherence. We investigated possible risk factors for the time to relapse in patients with first-episode schizophrenia (n = 107) who received assured treatment by way of long-acting injectable antipsychotic over 24 months and who underwent regular clinical, cognitive, and metabolic assessments.
Methods: Using Cox regression analyses we assessed selected premorbid and baseline potential predictors of time to relapse. Relapse was defined using operationally defined relapse criteria.
Results: In the primary analysis only neurological soft signs total score retained significance, with higher scores predicting shorter time to relapse (HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.01-1.10, p = .029). In a more detailed secondary analysis poorer social relationships predicted shorter time to relapse (HR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.76-0.95, p = .003).
Conclusion: Our predominantly negative findings suggest that many of the previously implicated risk factors for the time to relapse are mediated by non-adherence rather than having a direct effect on relapse-proneness. Neurological soft signs, and perhaps quality of life in social relationships appear to play a role and merit further investigation.
Keywords: neurological soft signs; predictors; quality of life; social relationships; time to relapse.
© 2024 The Authors. Early Intervention in Psychiatry published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.