Background and objectives: Higher YKL-40 levels in the CSF are a known biomarker of brain inflammation. We explored the utility of plasma YKL-40 as a biomarker for accelerated brain aging and dementia risk.
Methods: We performed cross-sectional and prospective analyses of 4 community-based cohorts in the United States or Europe: the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study, Atherosclerosis Risk in the Communities study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, and Framingham Heart Study (FHS). YKL-40 was measured from stored plasma by a single laboratory using Mesoscale Discovery with levels log transformed and standardized within each cohort. Outcomes included MRI total brain volume, hippocampal volume, and white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHV) as a percentage of intracranial volume, a general cognitive composite derived from neuropsychological testing (SD units [SDU]), and the risk of incident dementia. We sought to replicate associations with dementia in the clinic-based ACE csf cohort, which also had YKL-40 measured from the CSF.
Results: Meta-analyses of MRI outcomes included 6,558 dementia-free participants, and for analysis of cognition, 6,670. The blood draw preceded MRI/cognitive assessment by up to 10.6 years across cohorts. The mean ages ranged from 50 to 76 years, with 39%-48% male individuals. In random-effects meta-analysis of study estimates, each SDU increase in log-transformed YKL-40 levels was associated with smaller total brain volume (β = -0.33; 95% CI -0.45 to -0.22; p < 0.0001) and poorer cognition (β = -0.04; 95% CI -0.07 to -0.02; p < 0.01), following adjustments for demographic variables. YKL-40 levels did not associate with hippocampal volume or WMHV. In the FHS, each SDU increase in log YKL-40 levels was associated with a 64% increase in incident dementia risk over a median of 5.8 years of follow-up, following adjustments for demographic variables (hazard ratio 1.64; 95% CI 1.25-2.16; p < 0.001). In the ACE csf cohort, plasma and CSF YKL-40 were correlated (r = 0.31), and both were associated with conversion from mild cognitive impairment to dementia, independent of amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration status.
Discussion: Higher plasma YKL-40 levels were associated with lower brain volume, poorer cognition, and incident dementia. Plasma YKL-40 may be useful for studying the association of inflammation and its treatment on dementia risk.