Climate change, society, and pandemic disease in Roman Italy between 200 BCE and 600 CE

Sci Adv. 2024 Jan 26;10(4):eadk1033. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adk1033. Epub 2024 Jan 26.

Abstract

Records of past societies confronted with natural climate change can illuminate social responses to environmental stress and environment-disease connections, especially when locally constrained high-temporal resolution paleoclimate reconstructions are available. We present a temperature and precipitation reconstruction for ~200 BCE to ~600 CE, from a southern Italian marine sedimentary archive-the first high-resolution (~3 years) climate record from the heartland of the Roman Empire, stretching from the so-called Roman Climate Optimum to the Late Antique Little Ice Age. We document phases of instability and cooling from ~100 CE onward but more notably after ~130 CE. Pronounced cold phases between ~160 to 180 CE, ~245 to 275 CE, and after ~530 CE associate with pandemic disease, suggesting that climate stress interacted with social and biological variables. The importance of environment-disease dynamics in past civilizations underscores the need to incorporate health in risk assessments of climate change.

MeSH terms

  • Civilization
  • Climate Change*
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Pandemics*
  • Temperature