IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is an immune-mediated glomerulonephritis, posing a challenge for the long-term management. It is crucial to monitor the disease's activity over the disease course. Crescent lesions have been known as an active lesion associated with immune activity. We aimed to develop the Crescent Calculator to aid clinicians in making timely and well-informed decisions throughout the long-term disease course, such as renal biopsies and immunosuppressive therapy. 1,761 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN were recruited from four medical centers in Zhejiang Province, China. 16.9% presented crescent lesions. UPCR, URBC, eGFR and C4 were independently associated with the crescent lesions. By incorporating these variables, the Crescent Calculator was constructed to estimate the likelihood of crescent lesions. The predictor achieved AUC values of over 0.82 in two independent testing datasets. In addition, to fulfill varied clinical needs, multiple classification modes were established. The Crescent Calculator was developed to estimate the risk of crescent lesions for patients with IgAN, assisting clinicians in making timely, objective, and well-informed decisions regarding the need for renal biopsies and more appropriate use of immunosuppressive therapy in patients with IgAN.
Keywords: Crescent lesions; IgA nephropathy; Non-invasive prediction model; Oxford classification; Renal biopsy.
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