Transcriptomic changes and prediction of time since deposition of blood stains

Abstract

In forensics, it is important to determine the time since deposition (TSD) of bloodstains, one of the most common types of biological evidence in criminal cases. However, no effective TSD inference methods have been established despite extensive attempts in forensic science. Our study investigated the changes in the blood transcriptome over time, and we found that degradation could be divided into four stages (days 0-2, 4-14, 21-56, and 84-168) at 4 °C. A random forest prediction model based on these transcriptional changes was trained on experimental samples and tested in separate test samples. This model was able to successfully predict TSD (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.995, precision = 1, and recall = 1). Thus, this proof-of-concept pilot study has practical significance for assessing physical evidence. Meanwhile, 11 upregulated and 13 downregulated transcripts were identified as potential time-marker transcripts, laying a foundation for further development of TSD analysis methods in forensic science and crime scene investigation.

Keywords: Blood samples; Forensic sciences; RNA Sequencing; Random forest prediction model; Time since deposition.