A comprehensive drought index based on spatial principal component analysis and its application in northern China

Abstract

In the background of the greenhouse effect, drought events occurred more frequently. How to monitor drought events scientifically and efficiently is very urgent at present. In this study, we employed the Vegetation Water Supply Index (VSWI), Temperature Vegetation Drought Index (TVDI), and Crop Water Stress Index (CWSI) as individual variables to construct a composite drought index (CDI) using spatial principal component analysis (SPCA). The validity of CDI was assessed using gross primary productivity (GPP), soil moisture (SM), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Vegetation Condition Index (VCI). CDI was subsequently used for drought monitoring in northern China from 2011 to 2020. The results showed that (1) at a 99% confidence level, the Pearson correlation coefficients between CDI and GPP was 0.72, while the value between CDI and SM was 0.69, which indicated the relationship between SM, GPP, and CDI was significant. (2) We compared CDI with other variables such as Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Crop Drought Index (CDI) and found that the monitoring result of CDI was more sensitive, which indicated that the proposed CDI had a better effect in local drought monitoring. (3) The results of CDI showed that the drought status in the northern region during 2011-2020 lasted from March to October, and the high severe drought period generally occurs in March-May and September-October, with low severe drought in June-August.

Keywords: Composite drought index; Northern China; Remote sensing; Spatial and temporal variation.