Guidelines vary on alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. This study aims to reassess AFP's role in HCC surveillance, utilizing a comprehensive, recent, nationwide cohort. Utilizing the National Health Claims Database from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, this research included data from 185,316 HCC patients registered between 2008 and 2018. Specifically, 81,520 patients diagnosed with HCC from 2008 to 2014 were analyzed. The study focused primarily on mortality and, secondarily, on the status of curative treatments. Multivariate analysis revealed that frequent AFP testing significantly impacts overall survival in HCC patients. Specifically, each additional AFP test correlated with a 6% relative improvement in survival (hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.940-0.947, p < 0.001). Patients who underwent AFP testing three or more times within two years prior to HCC diagnosis showed improved survival rates, with 55.6% receiving liver transplantation or hepatectomy. This trend was particularly pronounced in hepatitis B patients undergoing antiviral treatment. The findings highlight the potential of regular AFP testing to enhance survival in HCC patients, especially those with hepatitis B. Integrating frequent AFP testing with ultrasonography could increase the likelihood of early detection and access to curative treatments.
Keywords: alpha-fetoprotein; chronic hepatitis B; hepatocellular carcinoma.