Background: An evaluation system is urgently needed to describe early predictors of the outcome of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) patients. Methods: All consecutive AHRF patients in a Respiratory Intensive Care Unit (RICU) receiving HFNC therapy between January 2019 and December 2021 were enrolled. Results: Of the 106 enrolled AHRF subjects, 57 (53.8%) succeeded in HFNC therapy and 49 (46.2%) failed. Being male (p = 0.006), initial respiratory rate oxygenation (ROX) index (p = 0.011), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (p = 0.007) and 24-h ROX index variation rate (p = 0.004) were independent factors of HFNC outcome; among these, 24-h ROX index variation rate (area under the curve = 0.825) was the best evaluation indicator. Conclusion: 24-h ROX index variation rate, introduced by our study, has shown the best potential to predict HFNC outcome in AHRF patients.
Keywords: ROC; ROX index; acute hypoxemic respiratory failure; high-flow nasal cannula; predictor; variation rate.