Earliest total vascular damage index scores independently predict all-cause mortality in patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis

Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2024 Apr;42(4):795-802. doi: 10.55563/clinexprheumatol/6r9eus. Epub 2024 Jan 2.

Abstract

Objectives: This study investigated whether the earliest total Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI) score could significantly predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV).

Methods: This study included AAV patients who were first diagnosed at this hospital from 2001 to 2022. The earliest total VDI score was defined as the first VID assessed more than 3 months after AAV diagnosis in 93.5% of patients or after the first AAV presentation in 6.5% of patients. The optimal cut-off of the earliest total VDI score for all-cause mortality was obtained using the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results: The median age and earliest VDI score were 60.0 years (35.5% men), and 3.0. The most common damaged system in the earliest VDI was the pulmonary (55.3%) system. Among the AAV patients, 39 (13.3%) died. When the optimal cut-off of the earliest total VDI score for all-cause mortality was set at 3.0 (sensitivity 64.1%, specificity 75.2%), AAV patients with the earliest total VDI score ≥3.0 exhibited a significantly higher risk for all-cause mortality than those without (relative risk 6.090). AAV patients with the earliest total VDI score ≥3.0 exhibited a significantly lower cumulative patients' survival rate than those without. In the multivariable Cox hazards model analyses, not only the earliest total VDI score but also the earliest total VDI score ≥3.0 were independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Conclusions: This study was the first to demonstrate that the earliest total VDI score could predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in AAV patients.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis* / complications
  • Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis* / diagnosis
  • Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis* / mortality
  • Cause of Death*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests*
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Time Factors