Dynamic landslide susceptibility mapping based on the PS-InSAR deformation intensity

Abstract

In order to meet the needs of refined landslide risk management, the extended correlation framework of dynamic susceptibility modeling desiderates to be further explored. This work considered the Wanzhou channel of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area as the experimental site, with a transportation channel with significant economic value to carry out innovative research in two stages. (i) Five machine learning models logistic regression (LR), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) were used to explore landslide susceptibility distribution based on detailed landslide boundaries. (ii) Based on the PS-InSAR technology, the dynamic factor of deformation intensity was obtained. Subsequently, the dynamic factor was combined with proposed static factors (topography conditions, geological conditions, hydrological conditions, and human activities) to generate dynamic landslide susceptibility mapping (DLSM). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score were proposed as evaluation metrics. Compared with ignoring the dynamic factor, the predictive accuracy of some models was further improved when considering the dynamic factor. Especially the DT model, the area under the curve of ROC (AUC) value increased by 2%, and obtained the highest AUC value (93.1%). The susceptibility results of introducing the dynamic factor are more in line with the spatial distribution of actual landslides. The research framework proposed in this study has important reference significance for the dynamic management and prevention of landslide disasters in the study area.

Keywords: Dynamic factor; Dynamic susceptibility; Machine learning; PS-InSAR; Three Gorges Reservoir Area.