A data-driven model for power system operating costs based on different types of wind power fluctuations

Abstract

The stochastic and intermittent features of wind power as well as the high percentage of wind power grid-connected significantly increase the additional operating costs of the power system. It is difficult to accurately calculate the impact of complex fluctuations in wind power on additional operating costs. To solve the above problems, a power system operating cost model adapted to various wind power fluctuation processes is established. Firstly, based on a two-layer clustering strategy, different types of wind power fluctuations are obtained. Then, a production simulation model of the power system with renewable energy is established. The production simulation model costs include thermal plant operating costs, energy storage system operating costs, positive reserve costs and negative reserve costs. With the optimization objective of minimizing the total operating cost of the power system, realistic and representative system operating parameters and cost samples are obtained for various wind power fluctuations and different wind power grid-connected scenarios. Finally, a data-driven approach based on a deep neural network algorithm is proposed to achieve precise mapping between wind energy fluctuations and the operating costs of power systems and thermal power units, and the operating costs of the power system during the four seasons with different types of wind power fluctuations can be precisely analyzed. The results demonstrate that the method proposed in this paper has high simulation accuracy for the overall simulation operating cost of the power system and the operating cost of thermal power plants. The simulation errors are 4%-18% and 3%-13%, respectively, which verified the effectiveness of the method.

Keywords: Data-driven; Deep neural network algorithm; Power system operating costs; Simulation of new power systems; Wind power fluctuation pattern.