Accurately predicting functional outcomes in stroke patients remains challenging yet clinically relevant. While brain CTs provide prognostic information, their practical value for outcome prediction is unclear. We analyzed a multi-center cohort of 743 ischemic stroke patients (<72 h onset), including their admission brain NCCT and CTA scans as well as their clinical data. Our goal was to predict the patients' future functional outcome, measured by the 3-month post-stroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS), dichotomized into good (mRS ≤ 2) and poor (mRS > 2). To this end, we developed deep learning models to predict the outcome from CT data only, and models that incorporate other patient variables. Three deep learning architectures were tested in the image-only prediction, achieving 0.779 ± 0.005 AUC. In addition, we created a model fusing imaging and tabular data by feeding the output of a deep learning model trained to detect occlusions on CT angiograms into our prediction framework, which achieved an AUC of 0.806 ± 0.082. These findings highlight how further refinement of prognostic models incorporating both image biomarkers and clinical data could enable more accurate outcome prediction for ischemic stroke patients.
Keywords: computed tomography; convolutional neural networks; deep learning; functional outcome; ischemic stroke; logistic regression.