Spatiotemporal characteristic analysis of PM2.5 in central China and modeling of driving factors based on MGWR: a case study of Henan Province

Front Public Health. 2023 Dec 5:11:1295468. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1295468. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Since the start of the twenty-first century, China's economy has grown at a high or moderate rate, and air pollution has become increasingly severe. The study was conducted using data from remote sensing observations between 1998 and 2019, employing the standard deviation ellipse model and spatial autocorrelation analysis, to explore the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of PM2.5 in Henan Province. Additionally, a multiscale geographically weighted regression model (MGWR) was applied to explore the impact of 12 driving factors (e.g., mean surface temperature and CO2 emissions) on PM2.5 concentration. The research revealed that (1) Over a period of 22 years, the yearly mean PM2.5 concentrations in Henan Province demonstrated a trend resembling the shape of the letter "M", and the general trend observed in Henan Province demonstrated that the spatial center of gravity of PM2.5 concentrations shifted toward the north. (2) Distinct spatial clustering patterns of PM2.5 were observed in Henan Province, with the northern region showing a primary concentration of spatial hot spots, while the western and southern areas were predominantly characterized as cold spots. (3) MGWR is more effective than GWR in unveiling the spatial heterogeneity of influencing factors at various scales, thereby making it a more appropriate approach for investigating the driving mechanisms behind PM2.5 concentration. (4) The results acquired from the MGWR model indicate that there are varying degrees of spatial heterogeneity in the effects of various factors on PM2.5 concentration. To summarize the above conclusions, the management of the atmospheric environment in Henan Province still has a long way to go, and the formulation of relevant policies should be adapted to local conditions, taking into account the spatial scale effect of the impact of different influencing factors on PM2.5.

Keywords: Central China; MGWR; PM2.5; air quality; spatiotemporal variation.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants* / analysis
  • Air Pollution* / analysis
  • China
  • Environmental Monitoring / methods
  • Particulate Matter / analysis

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Particulate Matter

Grants and funding

The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. This research was funded by the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Natural Resources (Grant Number: KF-2022-07-019 to XZ), the Key Laboratory for Synergistic Prevention of Water and Soil Environmental Pollution, Xinyang Normal University (Grant Number: KLSPWSEP-A11 to JN), and the Key Scientific Research Projects of Colleges in Henan Province (Grant Numbers: 23A520001 and 21A420007 to HW).